trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +84.9% | +67.3% | 100% | 100% | +67.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 40% | 30% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 40% | 35% | +6.6% |
| all | 20 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 40% | 35% | +6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 35% | +6.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 25% | -3.6% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 25% | -13.0% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 20% | -21.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $151 | $135 | −$16 (-11%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $100 | $121 | +$21 (+21%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $100 | $112 | +$12 (+12%) |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 20¢ | 22¢ | $100 | $110 | +$10 (+10%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $250 | +$213 | +85% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 09 | $17 | +$24 | +139% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $1,060 | +$9 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $750 | −$22 | -3% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Jun 09 | $27 | −$21 | -78% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Jun 07 | $27 | −$25 | -94% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $156 | +$69 | +44% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $153 | −$153 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | May 29 | $101 | −$7 | -7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Apr 19 | $284 | −$1 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 19 | $61 | −$12 | -20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Apr 19 | $253 | +$32 | +13% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 19 | $501 | −$122 | -24% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Apr 19 | $591 | −$222 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Apr 17 | $53 | +$7 | +14% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 16 | $426 | +$776 | +182% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 07 | $100 | −$92 | -92% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10? | Apr 07 | $100 | −$89 | -90% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 07 | $350 | +$606 | +173% |