trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Paraguay | 78¢ | 78¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$5 | -45% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $9 | +$4 | +42% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY Paraguay | 78¢ | $6 | 1h |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 31¢ | $6 | 1h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 46¢ | $10 | 2h |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 54¢ | $10 | 2h |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | SELL Mexico | 52¢ | $6 | 25h |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | BUY Over | 70¢ | $9 | 34h |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY Mexico | 40¢ | $5 | 34h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 67% | 67% | -7.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 67% | 67% | -7.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 67% | 67% | -7.4% |
| all | 3 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 67% | 67% | -7.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.6% | 67% | -7.4% |
| 10% | -11.9% | 67% | -16.3% |
| 15% | -20.5% | 33% | -24.3% |
| 20% | -28.3% | 0% | -31.8% |