Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7462…a616
crypto · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$36 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses84 / 58
Open positions1
Markets (closed)142 / 143
Avg bet$10
Trades / day384.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 53¢ 64¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 +6.3% -3.8% 59% 35% -11.8%
≤30d 142 +6.3% -3.8% 59% 35% -11.8%
≤90d 142 +6.3% -3.8% 59% 35% -11.8%
all 142 +6.3% -3.8% 59% 35% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover384.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 35% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.0% 25% -20.2%
15% -21.4% 9% -28.0%
20% -29.2% 0% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.17 · official $3.17 (match) · 667 history records