trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 25 | +16.9% | +5.7% | 56% | 56% | +51.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.7% | 56% | +51.2% |
| 10% | -4.4% | 56% | +36.7% |
| 15% | -13.6% | 52% | +23.5% |
| 20% | -22.1% | 48% | +11.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $410 | $410 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $300 | $300 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $190 | $190 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSA T20 Series: Warriors vs Lions (Game 1) | Nov 12 | $38 | +$12 | +32% |
| Lightning vs. Golden Knights | Nov 07 | $18 | +$20 | +113% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 04 | $8 | +$9 | +108% |
| Rangers vs. Maple Leafs | Oct 16 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Ducks | Oct 16 | $10 | +$7 | +72% |
| Twins vs. Rangers | Sep 23 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Orioles | Sep 15 | $3 | +$2 | +82% |
| Falcons vs. Cowboys | Aug 26 | $41 | +$29 | +70% |
| Pirates vs. Brewers | Aug 20 | $27 | +$13 | +49% |
| Marlins vs. Guardians | Aug 13 | $16 | +$12 | +72% |
| Braves vs. Reds | Aug 05 | $7 | +$5 | +70% |
| Twins vs. Tigers | Aug 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 07 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Fulham wins the Premier League? | Feb 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Leicester City wins the Premier League? | Feb 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Spurs | Dec 20 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Dec 02 | $508 | +$399 | +79% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Nov 30 | $263 | +$243 | +92% |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Nov 28 | $97 | +$139 | +144% |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Nov 27 | $54 | +$66 | +122% |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks | Nov 26 | $28 | +$32 | +117% |