Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:35:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x744a…0ea8
crypto · 914 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,443 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,657 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,657
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses610 / 304
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)914 / 914
History coverage127d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 914 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$25
14 days−$3
30 days−$548
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$11 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$3 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -86%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $46 −$7 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$11 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $46 −$8 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$14 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $29 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$14 +131%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 09 $19 −$15 -80%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 06 $93 +$6 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$9 +43%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $230 −$4 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 04 $21 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 04 $17 +$6 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 04 $27 +$6 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 04 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$2 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 04 $20 +$4 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 04 $31 −$4 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$8 +145%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 04 $26 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$1,877
other 21% −$420
sports 7% −$36
weather 5% −$324
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 78¢ $39 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $13 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $32 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $24 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 9h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $32 14h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $14 14h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 78¢ $39 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $14 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $52 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $8 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $13 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $17 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -19.0% -26.7% 54% 43% -13.9%
≤30d 177 -14.5% -22.6% 53% 38% -18.0%
≤90d 471 -10.7% -19.2% 57% 31% -15.1%
all 914 -6.8% -15.7% 67% 25% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 25% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 15% -20.1%
15% -31.1% 9% -27.8%
20% -37.9% 6% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records