trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 89% | 33% | -18.4% |
| all | 24 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 92% | 21% | -19.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.5% | 21% | -19.1% |
| 10% | -19.1% | 12% | -26.8% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 4% | -33.9% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 4% | -40.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $63 | $63 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $58 | $58 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial | Jun 07 | $58 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | Jun 02 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In | May 24 | $471 | −$461 | -98% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Kor | May 19 | $404 | +$69 | +17% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 15 | $313 | +$91 | +29% |
| LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $261 | +$52 | +20% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $261 | +$1 | +0% |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) | Apr 08 | $256 | +$5 | +2% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Apr 02 | $238 | +$17 | +7% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Feb 28 | $1,370 | −$1,370 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Feb 28 | $1,369 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Feb 27 | $1,327 | +$42 | +3% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 23 | $1,025 | +$302 | +29% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Feb 12 | $1,015 | +$10 | +1% |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 03 | $49 | +$30 | +61% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2 | Jan 31 | $984 | +$1 | +0% |
| Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale? | Jan 10 | $982 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | Jan 02 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $42 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Jan 02 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $320 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $422 | +$1 | +0% |