Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:35:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7437…717a
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$14 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Up 96¢ 96¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 96¢ $30 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $51 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +10.5% +0.0% 100% 25% -2.2%
≤30d 4 +10.5% +0.0% 100% 25% -2.2%
≤90d 4 +10.5% +0.0% 100% 25% -2.2%
all 4 +10.5% +0.0% 100% 25% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.0% 25% -2.2%
10% -9.6% 0% -11.6%
15% -18.3% 0% -20.1%
20% -26.3% 0% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.84 · official $29.84 (match) · 9 history records