Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7431…e02e
crypto · 850 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$550 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$550 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$550
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses401 / 479
Open positions0
Markets (closed)880 / 850
History coverage5d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day521.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 880 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$751
7 days−$550
14 days−$550
30 days−$550
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$12 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$284
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 880 -5.2% -14.2% 46% 39% -10.8%
≤30d 880 -5.2% -14.2% 46% 39% -10.8%
≤90d 880 -5.2% -14.2% 46% 39% -10.8%
all 880 -5.2% -14.2% 46% 39% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover521.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 39% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 30% -19.4%
15% -29.9% 23% -27.1%
20% -36.8% 19% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records