Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7430…3af2
sports · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$53,658 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50,509 · open −$3,154
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$39,474
Realized−$50,509
Unrealized−$3,154
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses85 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$10,690
Open positions4
Markets (closed)193 / 197
Avg bet$4,173
Trades / day56.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15,024
7 days−$126,492
14 days−$117,621
30 days−$89,832
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ 100¢ $11,549 $19,206 +$7,657 (+66%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner T1 50¢ 100¢ $8,106 $16,270 +$8,164 (+101%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 50¢ $2,500 $2,525 +$25 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ 48¢ $1,440 $1,455 +$15 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ 0¢ $1,890 $17 −$1,872 (-99%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 51¢ 0¢ $1,323 $1 −$1,322 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $2,580 $0 −$2,580 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner paiN Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $1,211 $0 −$1,211 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $8,853 −$2,477 -28%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2,580 −$2,580 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $3,132 +$432 +14%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $9,748 +$20,972 +215%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,234 −$1,211 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,058 −$111 -10%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $37,035 −$5,568 -15%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $187 −$187 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $354 −$354 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $86 −$86 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $1,892 −$1,892 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $16,022 +$8,626 +54%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 09 $1,920 −$1,920 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 09 $2,384 −$2,384 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 09 $21,795 −$1,334 -6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 09 $6,707 −$3,457 -52%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10,906 −$7,718 -71%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $20,368 −$13,215 -65%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 09 $8,436 −$8,436 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $23,568 −$6,459 -27%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $21,456 +$7,368 +34%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $22,624 −$7,506 -33%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $3,208 −$2,631 -82%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,341 −$905 -68%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $16,936 +$3,734 +22%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $11,305 +$8,837 +78%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $602 +$79 +13%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $8,628 +$1,935 +22%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $9,692 +$8,378 +86%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $5,228 −$3,681 -70%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $2,846 −$405 -14%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $3,252 −$1,943 -60%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $391 +$109 +28%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $7,372 −$5,142 -70%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,351 +$319 +24%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7,698 +$1,710 +22%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 07 $95 +$142 +149%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,357 −$300 -22%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $26,258 +$6,781 +26%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $3,865 +$4,288 +111%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $9,078 −$732 -8%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $71 −$71 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Jun 07 $32 −$32 -100%
Stars vs. Wild Jun 07 $132 −$132 -100%
Valorant: Riddle vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage Jun 07 $374 −$374 -100%
Canadiens vs. Lightning Jun 07 $4,700 −$1,456 -31%
Lightning vs. Canadiens Jun 07 $805 −$805 -100%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Cl Jun 07 $968 −$968 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$39,387
other 2% −$14,276
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $48 6m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $500 7m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $23 7m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $22 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $9 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $130 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $5 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $18 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $260 9m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $20 9m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $200 9m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $42 9m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $10 9m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $12 9m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $5 9m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $29 9m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $430 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $42 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $5 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $7 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $500 11m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $183 11m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $77 25m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $100 25m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $167 25m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $725 34m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $343 35m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $27 41m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $40 41m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $1,099 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -54.4% -58.8% 20% 20% -33.4%
≤30d 94 -35.1% -41.2% 31% 30% -24.2%
≤90d 193 -9.4% -18.1% 44% 42% -15.3%
all 193 -9.4% -18.1% 44% 42% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 42% -15.3%
10% -25.9% 39% -23.4%
15% ← realistic here -33.1% 34% -30.8%
20% -39.6% 30% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39,474.49 · official $39,474.49 (match) · 3500 history records