trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +3.5% | -6.4% | 50% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 67% | 33% | -2.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -16.4% | -24.3% | 60% | 20% | -17.5% |
| all | 29 | -17.8% | -25.6% | 48% | 28% | -21.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.6% | 28% | -21.9% |
| 10% | -32.7% | 17% | -29.4% |
| 15% | -39.2% | 10% | -36.2% |
| 20% | -45.2% | 10% | -42.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 12 | $12 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 01 | $33 | +$4 | +11% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Apr 02 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | Mar 21 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Mar 13 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Mar 13 | $42 | +$6 | +14% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Jun 06 | $32 | −$30 | -95% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025? | Mar 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during his presser with Zelensk | Mar 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | Feb 28 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Feb 24 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Feb 21 | $6 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14? | Feb 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025? | Feb 11 | $1 | +$7 | +576% |
| Will someone else be inaugurated? | Jan 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Jan 25 | $27 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech | Jan 25 | $1 | +$1 | +64% |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | Jan 25 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Jan 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech? | Jan 01 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? | Jan 01 | $1 | −$1 | -45% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Dec 29 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%? | Dec 20 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Dec 18 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | Dec 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |