Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x742c…0eed
crypto · 1723 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,425 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,425 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,425
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1428 / 480
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1908 / 1723
History coverage26d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day82.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1908 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,217
7 days−$1,266
14 days−$1,869
30 days−$2,425
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,287
other 0% −$62
sports 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $67 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $65 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $60 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $57 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $53 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $49 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $47 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $47 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $44 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $46 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $40 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $38 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $35 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $33 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $38 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $35 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $37 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $37 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 627 -29.7% -36.4% 62% 20% -23.0%
≤30d 1908 -10.9% -19.4% 75% 27% -13.0%
≤90d 1908 -10.9% -19.4% 75% 27% -13.0%
all 1908 -10.9% -19.4% 75% 27% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 27% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 14% -21.3%
15% -34.2% 8% -28.9%
20% -40.6% 5% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records