Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7419…cf25
crypto · 1136 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$179 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$179 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$179
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses648 / 548
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1196 / 1136
History coverage21d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day108.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$456
7 days−$419
14 days−$298
30 days−$179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$13 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$326
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 536 -37.4% -43.4% 38% 37% -44.6%
≤30d 1196 -8.5% -17.2% 54% 52% -14.3%
≤90d 1196 -8.5% -17.2% 54% 52% -14.3%
all 1196 -8.5% -17.2% 54% 52% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 52% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 50% -22.5%
15% -32.3% 45% -30.0%
20% -39.0% 35% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records