trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 25% | 25% | -33.0% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 25% | 25% | -33.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 25% | 25% | -33.0% |
| all | 21 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 24% | 24% | -33.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 24% | -33.9% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 24% | -40.3% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 24% | -46.0% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 24% | -51.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $300 | $307 | +$7 (+2%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $300 | $304 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $305 | $290 | −$15 (-5%) |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 32¢ | $50 | $54 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $193 | −$74 | -38% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$6 | -29% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $122 | −$118 | -97% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $200 | −$195 | -98% |
| Belgium to score first vs. Egypt? | Jun 15 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $100 | +$125 | +125% |
| Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$40 | +79% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $61 | +$205 | +334% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$91 | +442% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $87 | −$36 | -42% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$72 | +350% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31? | Aug 29 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |