trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Curaçao | 27¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$5 | +442% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$3 | +276% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Mar 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 28¢ | $1 | 29m |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 53¢ | $1 | 37m |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 4¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | BUY Curaçao | 27¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 18¢ | $1 | 12h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $1 | 34h |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 26¢ | $1 | 34h |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 54¢ | $1 | 2d |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $1 | 2d |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 81¢ | $1 | 2d |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 32¢ | $1 | 2d |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 21¢ | $5 | 3d |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY Yes | 8¢ | $10 | 270d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +60.6% | +45.3% | 50% | 50% | -0.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +60.6% | +45.3% | 50% | 50% | -0.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +42.8% | +29.2% | 44% | 44% | -45.9% |
| all | 9 | +42.8% | +29.2% | 44% | 44% | -45.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +29.2% | 44% | -45.9% |
| 10% | +16.8% | 44% | -51.0% |
| 15% | +5.5% | 44% | -55.8% |
| 20% | -4.8% | 44% | -60.1% |