Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:55:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x73f2…d7d7 crypto 101 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$33 (-16%) realized −$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate36%36W / 65L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day74.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 +0.6% -9.0% 36% 34% -26.2%
≤30d 101 +0.6% -9.0% 36% 34% -26.2%
≤90d 101 +0.6% -9.0% 36% 34% -26.2%
all 101 +0.6% -9.0% 36% 34% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 34% -26.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 33% -33.2%
15% -25.6% 32% -39.7%
20% -32.9% 30% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 62% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.36 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses36 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)101 / 101
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day74.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 101 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 238 history records