Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73e6…beb0
crypto · 287 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$322 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$310 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$314
Realized+$310
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses168 / 117
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)285 / 287
History coverage66d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 285 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$124
7 days+$191
14 days+$243
30 days+$243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 13? No 95¢ 100¢ $300 $314 +$14 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-94%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $312 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$81 +1287%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $353 +$6 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $8 +$4 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 12 $307 +$15 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 12 $29 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$15 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $318 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $275 +$43 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 10 $264 +$8 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 10 $263 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 1 Jun 10 $5 −$3 -58%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 10? Jun 10 $256 +$9 +4%
Spread: Hungary (-2.5) Jun 09 $238 +$19 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 10? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -58%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 10? Jun 09 $2 $0 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? Jun 09 $2 $0 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 9? Jun 09 $50 −$50 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $200 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 9? Jun 09 $281 +$10 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8? Jun 08 $200 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 8? Jun 08 $268 +$12 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8? Jun 08 $250 +$8 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 7? Jun 07 $258 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7? Jun 07 $250 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 6? Jun 06 $150 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 6? Jun 06 $240 +$8 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 5? Jun 05 $232 +$5 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 5? Jun 04 $100 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? Jun 04 $141 +$17 +12%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 4? Jun 04 $215 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 5? Jun 04 $215 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on June 4? Jun 04 $216 −$1 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3? Jun 03 $199 +$17 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 09 $74 +$59 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 55% +$235
sports 28% +$92
crypto 8% −$15
other 7% +$13
politics 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June BUY No 96¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June BUY No 95¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June BUY No 95¢ $100 2h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $194 4h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $5 4h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $114 4h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $34 4h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $310 5h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 5h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 85¢ $11 6h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 85¢ $10 6h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 80¢ $12 6h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 65¢ $9 6h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 63¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 60¢ $6 7h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL Yes 66¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 9h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $356 9h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 11h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $3 12h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $350 12h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June SELL Yes 99¢ $8 21h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June SELL No 100¢ $281 22h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June SELL No 100¢ $24 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +34.4% +21.6% 75% 28% -5.6%
≤30d 47 +27.9% +15.7% 77% 26% -5.9%
≤90d 285 -1.5% -10.9% 59% 37% -7.0%
all 285 -1.5% -10.9% 59% 37% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 37% -7.0%
10% -19.4% 32% -15.9%
15% -27.2% 29% -24.0%
20% -34.3% 26% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $313.68 · official $313.68 (match) · 770 history records