Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73e3…1be9
sports · 24 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$407,944 -41%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$409,434 · open +$1,489
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✓ In copytrade ★ In watchlist
Net worth$126,284
Realized−$409,434
Unrealized+$1,489
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses11 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$14,819
Open positions3
Markets (closed)29 / 24
Avg bet$41,665
Trades / day879.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$275,252
7 days−$409,434
14 days−$409,434
30 days−$409,434
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 59¢ 60¢ $60,749 $61,264 +$515 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 34¢ 34¢ $34,000 $34,490 +$490 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 32¢ $30,045 $30,530 +$485 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 52¢ 0¢ $52,601 $0 −$52,601 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $40,800 $0 −$40,800 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 50¢ 0¢ $59,800 $0 −$59,800 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 33¢ 0¢ $49,493 $0 −$49,493 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 39¢ 0¢ $46,933 $0 −$46,933 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 27¢ 0¢ $48,600 $0 −$48,600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 43¢ 0¢ $60,600 $0 −$60,600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 55¢ 0¢ $56,119 $0 −$56,119 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 64¢ 0¢ $11,180 $0 −$11,180 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BIG 53¢ 0¢ $28,292 $0 −$28,292 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 28¢ 0¢ $12,530 $0 −$12,530 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 44¢ 0¢ $44,000 $0 −$44,000 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 54¢ 0¢ $2,033 $0 −$2,033 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 49¢ 0¢ $68,296 $0 −$68,296 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 33¢ 0¢ $33,000 $0 −$33,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 32¢ 0¢ $21,794 $0 −$21,794 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 43¢ 0¢ $56,206 $0 −$56,206 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $59,800 −$59,800 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $49,493 −$49,493 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $46,933 −$46,933 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $11,180 −$11,180 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $28,292 −$28,292 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $12,530 −$12,530 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $68,296 −$68,296 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $33,000 −$33,000 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $14,400 +$25,600 +178%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11,301 +$8,699 +77%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $91,832 +$52,860 +58%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $77,853 +$47,147 +61%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $24,125 +$8,920 +37%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $74,000 +$26,000 +35%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $34,094 +$7,997 +24%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $2,058 −$2,033 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $44,000 −$44,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $56,391 −$56,119 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $40,800 −$40,800 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $94,428 −$14,300 -15%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $52,605 −$52,601 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $48,600 −$48,600 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $84,118 −$72,928 -87%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $4,887 +$1,671 +34%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $13,046 +$8,329 +64%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $31,970 +$68,029 +213%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $29,891 +$54,217 +181%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $22,169 −$21,794 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $22,246 −$56,206 -253%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$98,420
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $54 0m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $8 0m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $44 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $12 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $10 2m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 2m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 2m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $4 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $36 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $15 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 4m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $10 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $9 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $45 4m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 4m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $4 4m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $8 4m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 5m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $4 5m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 6m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $44 6m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $3 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-33.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -26.0% -33.1% 38% 38% -39.6%
≤30d 29 -26.0% -33.1% 38% 38% -39.6%
≤90d 29 -26.0% -33.1% 38% 38% -39.6%
all 29 -26.0% -33.1% 38% 38% -39.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover879.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.1% 38% -39.6%
10% -39.5% 38% -45.4%
15% ← realistic here -45.3% 28% -50.7%
20% -50.7% 24% -55.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $126,283.96 · official $126,293.96 (match) · 3500 history records