Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:21:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73dd…5012
world · 16 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions13
Markets (closed)3 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 13 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 50¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+99%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 No 89¢ 76¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14? No 9¢ 1¢ $25 $3 −$22 (-89%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 75¢ 99¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+33%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 50¢ 94¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+88%)
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 83¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 50¢ 97¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes 61¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 94¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+88%)
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 50¢ 90¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026? No 50¢ 90¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 47% −$22
world 37% +$4
other 11% +$1
politics 2% $0
tech 2% $0
crypto 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.58 · official $27.58 (match) · 27 history records