Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73d8…3c0c
crypto · 631 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$216 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$220 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$220
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses352 / 268
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions11
Markets (closed)620 / 631
History coverage21d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day51.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 11 History 620 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$154
7 days−$219
14 days−$144
30 days−$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 69¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Yes 19¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+424%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$19 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$13 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$18 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$17 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$29 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$35 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$31 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$16 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$31 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$16 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$43 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$36 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$21 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $154 −$50 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$44 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$13 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$59 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$97 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$45 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$5 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$28 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$23 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$13 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$54 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$57 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$42 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$140
other 1% −$55
sports 1% −$26
weather 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $109 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $120 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $106 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $114 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $101 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $120 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $78 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $110 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $131 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $102 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $120 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $109 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $133 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $102 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $117 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $101 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $133 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $102 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $102 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -9.1% -17.7% 51% 43% -13.2%
≤30d 620 -5.9% -14.9% 57% 51% -11.6%
≤90d 620 -5.9% -14.9% 57% 51% -11.6%
all 620 -5.9% -14.9% 57% 51% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 51% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 45% -20.0%
15% -30.5% 36% -27.8%
20% -37.3% 25% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.83 · official $46.89 (match) · 1126 history records