Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73d3…4368
crypto · 867 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$6,128 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,131 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized+$6,131
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses450 / 416
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)866 / 867
History coverage9d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day184.7
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 866 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,839
7 days+$6,020
14 days+$6,131
30 days+$6,131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$39 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$42 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$46 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$41 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$42 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$41 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$40 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$36 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$42 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$36 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$41 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$39 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$42 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $176 +$129 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $177 −$171 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $177 +$172 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$49 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$53 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$24 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$50 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$45 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$43 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$60 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$57 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $229 −$164 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $229 +$171 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $316 −$306 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$2,531
other 6% +$3,597
sports 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $24 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $24 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $24 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 792 +4.5% -5.5% 53% 53% +3.5%
≤30d 866 +7.1% -3.1% 52% 52% +3.4%
≤90d 866 +7.1% -3.1% 52% 52% +3.4%
all 866 +7.1% -3.1% 52% 52% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover184.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.1% 52% +3.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.4% 51% -6.5%
15% -20.8% 51% -15.5%
20% -28.6% 51% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.43 · official $46.43 (match) · 2241 history records