trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 50% | 50% | +17.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 50% | 50% | +17.0% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +213.3% | +183.5% | 50% | 50% | +39.1% |
| all | 23 | +138.8% | +116.1% | 43% | 39% | +22.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +116.1% | 39% | +22.5% |
| 10% | +95.4% | 39% | +10.7% |
| 15% | +76.5% | 35% | +0.0% |
| 20% | +59.2% | 30% | -9.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 42¢ | 86¢ | $398 | $810 | +$412 (+104%) |
| Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $116 | $112 | −$4 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jun 23 | $1,648 | +$523 | +32% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | Jun 23 | $33 | −$31 | -94% |
| MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? | May 01 | $39 | −$23 | -59% |
| MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $179 | −$31 | -17% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $205 | −$162 | -79% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $1,563 | −$183 | -12% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $685 | −$189 | -28% |
| USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Apr 27 | $44 | +$63 | +143% |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Apr 22 | $53 | +$1,328 | +2494% |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Apr 21 | $78 | +$887 | +1131% |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Apr 21 | $239 | +$602 | +252% |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 21 | $1,879 | +$1,249 | +66% |
| USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Apr 21 | $200 | −$180 | -90% |
| USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Apr 20 | $15 | −$6 | -40% |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Mar 31 | $177 | +$286 | +161% |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 31 | $1,097 | +$505 | +46% |
| Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Mar 07 | $88 | −$73 | -83% |
| Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Mar 07 | $1,106 | −$767 | -69% |
| Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 06 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Mar 02 | $460 | −$15 | -3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Mar 02 | $80 | −$24 | -30% |
| Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Feb 28 | $217 | +$13 | +6% |
| Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Feb 28 | $629 | +$374 | +60% |