Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73c6…161a
crypto · 73 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,946 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,705 · open −$240
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$240
Realized−$8,705
Unrealized−$240
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses23 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)72 / 73
History coverage2d
Avg bet$510
Trades / day255.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,705
7 days−$8,705
14 days−$8,705
30 days−$8,705
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $481 $240 −$240 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $693 $0 −$693 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $572 $0 −$572 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $562 $0 −$562 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $825 $0 −$825 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $441 −$425 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $310 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $157 +$17 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $208 +$232 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $937 −$600 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $724 −$700 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $312 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $524 −$500 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $183 −$50 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $411 +$259 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $413 −$312 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $622 −$100 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $402 −$278 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $225 +$192 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $732 −$232 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $464 +$197 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $261 −$83 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,298 +$1,473 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $416 −$137 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $521 −$500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $2,019 −$1,950 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $533 −$150 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $628 −$528 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $308 +$160 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $413 −$50 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $831 −$797 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $730 −$495 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $734 −$700 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $829 −$687 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $462 −$281 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,855 +$1,492 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $522 −$473 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $727 +$643 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $724 −$693 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $828 +$326 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $761 −$325 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $870 −$825 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $654 +$33 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,046 −$20 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $654 −$625 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $521 −$500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $422 −$297 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $628 −$600 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $501 −$475 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $314 +$652 +207%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$8,705
other 1% −$240
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $118 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $126 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $104 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-38.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -31.8% -38.3% 32% 31% -33.7%
≤30d 72 -31.8% -38.3% 32% 31% -33.7%
≤90d 72 -31.8% -38.3% 32% 31% -33.7%
all 72 -31.8% -38.3% 32% 31% -33.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover255.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.3% 31% -33.7%
10% ← realistic here -44.2% 26% -40.1%
15% -49.6% 26% -45.8%
20% -54.5% 22% -51.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $240.33 · official $240.33 (match) · 543 history records