Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73c0…1232
crypto · 859 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$129 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses515 / 383
Open positions0
Markets (closed)898 / 859
History coverage16d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day161.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 898 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$98
7 days−$97
14 days−$110
30 days−$129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +386%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 434 -8.2% -16.9% 56% 3% -10.8%
≤30d 898 -4.5% -13.6% 57% 4% -10.4%
≤90d 898 -4.5% -13.6% 57% 4% -10.4%
all 898 -4.5% -13.6% 57% 4% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover161.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 4% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 1% -18.9%
15% -29.4% 0% -26.8%
20% -36.3% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records