Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T00:13:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x73b7…b421 crypto 1671 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$17 (-1%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate87%1460W / 211L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day113.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$14
14 days−$16
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 317 -2.6% -11.9% 85% 1% -11.7%
≤30d 1671 -1.7% -11.1% 87% 5% -11.3%
≤90d 1671 -1.7% -11.1% 87% 5% -11.3%
all 1671 -1.7% -11.1% 87% 5% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover113.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 5% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 0% -19.8%
15% -27.3% 0% -27.5%
20% -34.5% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1460 / 211
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1671 / 1671
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day113.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1671 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records