Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:15:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73ab…79cc
crypto · 1635 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$119 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$142
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses768 / 865
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1633 / 1635
History coverage32d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day60.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1633 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$91
14 days−$54
30 days−$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 59¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 55¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$143
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 223 -32.4% -38.8% 34% 33% -40.6%
≤30d 1430 -8.9% -17.6% 46% 44% -17.2%
≤90d 1633 -7.5% -16.3% 47% 45% -16.1%
all 1633 -7.5% -16.3% 47% 45% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 45% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 45% -24.1%
15% -31.6% 45% -31.4%
20% -38.3% 45% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $1.91 (match) · 3500 history records