Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:57:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73a9…0f80
crypto · 322 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$93 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$56 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$56
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses134 / 185
Open positions3
Markets (closed)319 / 322
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day288.8
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$56
14 days+$56
30 days+$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 43¢ 54¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 42¢ 50¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$6 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$6 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +130%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$2 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 319 +0.1% -9.5% 42% 41% -5.6%
≤30d 319 +0.1% -9.5% 42% 41% -5.6%
≤90d 319 +0.1% -9.5% 42% 41% -5.6%
all 319 +0.1% -9.5% 42% 41% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover288.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 41% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 40% -14.6%
15% -26.0% 38% -22.8%
20% -33.3% 34% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.40 · official $9.45 (match) · 721 history records