Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73a2…3b68
crypto · 558 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,215 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,142 · open −$73
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$821
Realized−$1,142
Unrealized−$73
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses247 / 312
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions6
Markets (closed)559 / 558
History coverage2d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day1375.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 559 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,177
7 days−$1,142
14 days−$1,142
30 days−$1,142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 86¢ $202 $202 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $71 $106 +$35 (+50%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner LNG Esports 69¢ 100¢ $69 $100 +$31 (+45%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 54¢ 56¢ $55 $58 +$3 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 90¢ $54 $54 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 73¢ 100¢ $36 $50 +$14 (+37%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 4 Winner GIANTX 36¢ 50¢ $36 $50 +$14 (+39%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 50¢ 100¢ $25 $50 +$25 (+100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 70¢ 100¢ $32 $46 +$14 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 20¢ $109 $38 −$71 (-65%)
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01? Yes 42¢ 100¢ $14 $33 +$19 (+138%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 32¢ 32¢ $32 $32 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 48¢ 14¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$35 +50%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $69 +$12 +17%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$14 +37%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$14 +39%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 +$14 +43%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01? Jun 12 $14 +$19 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$14 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$45 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$47 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$51 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$41 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$35 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$44 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -6%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $35 −$32 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $47 −$20 -44%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $24 +$6 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $33 −$33 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$47 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$38 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$17 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$50 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$1,221
sports 5% −$127
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $84 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $14 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 16m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $15 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 559 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 33% -16.3%
≤30d 559 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 33% -16.3%
≤90d 559 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 33% -16.3%
all 559 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 33% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1375.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 33% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 26% -24.3%
15% -31.2% 23% -31.6%
20% -37.9% 17% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $821.34 · official $826.32 (match) · 3500 history records