Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:19:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7393…751a
sports · 103 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$243 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$408
Realized−$213
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses92 / 7
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions4
Markets (closed)99 / 103
History coverage1d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day147.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 4 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$213
7 days−$213
14 days−$213
30 days−$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? No 95¢ 94¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Under 95¢ 93¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 94¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Türkiye 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Under 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? No 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $99 +$6 +6%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $99 +$6 +6%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $99 +$6 +6%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $99 +$6 +6%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $84 +$4 +5%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% −$285
other 35% +$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY No 95¢ $100 19m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 95¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $100 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 95¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 1h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? BUY No 95¢ $100 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $99 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $0 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $20 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $80 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? BUY No 94¢ $99 2h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 95¢ $100 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 94¢ $99 2h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 95¢ $19 3h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 95¢ $81 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 3h
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Australia 95¢ $78 3h
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Australia 95¢ $0 3h
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Australia 95¢ $22 3h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY No 95¢ $100 3h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 95¢ $100 3h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 95¢ $100 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $68 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $13 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $19 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 4h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $100 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -2.2% -11.5% 93% 0% -11.5%
≤30d 99 -2.2% -11.5% 93% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 99 -2.2% -11.5% 93% 0% -11.5%
all 99 -2.2% -11.5% 93% 0% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 0% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 0% -19.9%
15% -27.7% 0% -27.7%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $407.67 · official $407.67 (match) · 239 history records