Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x737c…cdf2
crypto · 9 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$10 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage7d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Yes 37¢ 37¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$18 +430%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 85% +$14
crypto 15% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 40¢ $4 4m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 19¢ $4 4m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 36¢ $7 51m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 52m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 54m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 33¢ $14 55m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 31¢ $8 4h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 22¢ $8 5h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $22 7h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12? BUY Yes 29¢ $4 21h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 18¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +164.9% +139.6% 50% 50% +139.5%
≤30d 7 -9.3% -18.0% 29% 14% +34.6%
≤90d 7 -9.3% -18.0% 29% 14% +34.6%
all 7 -9.3% -18.0% 29% 14% +34.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.0% 14% +34.6%
10% -25.8% 14% +21.7%
15% -33.0% 14% +10.0%
20% -39.6% 14% -0.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.25 · official $22.25 (match) · 24 history records