Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7374…7145
sports · 94 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$47 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses48 / 46
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage134d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Celtics vs. 76ers Celtics 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -62%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +113%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $1 +$1 +146%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 20 $1 $0 +1%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 20 $3 −$3 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 20 $2 +$2 +140%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 May 20 $2 −$2 -66%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 May 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? May 04 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 −$3 -99%
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score May 03 $5 −$5 -99%
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score May 03 $3 +$3 +82%
Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Score May 03 $2 +$2 +114%
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5 May 03 $1 +$1 +134%
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score May 03 $2 +$2 +89%
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $2 −$2 -98%
76ers vs. Celtics May 03 $2 +$1 +34%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $4 +$3 +73%
Celtics vs. 76ers Apr 30 $4 −$4 -99%
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Apr 30 $2 $0 -14%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Apr 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Apr 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Apr 29 $2 +$2 +101%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score Apr 29 $2 +$1 +42%
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer Apr 29 $1 +$1 +119%
Hornets vs. Magic Apr 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Apr 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Apr 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Thunder vs. Suns Apr 28 $4 $0 +12%
Warriors vs. Clippers Apr 16 $3 +$6 +196%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $2 +$1 +52%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? Apr 15 $10 +$8 +79%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? Apr 15 $36 +$56 +156%
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Car Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Lakers vs. Warriors Apr 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $40 +$12 +29%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 10 $2 +$1 +62%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $15 +$12 +79%
Hornets vs. Celtics Apr 08 $2 +$1 +44%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? Apr 07 $1 +$1 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% +$49
sports 28% +$1
crypto 5% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 32h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 32h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 2d
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals BUY Yes 40¢ $1 2d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 38¢ $16 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 23d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 24d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 32¢ $3 24d
Cavaliers vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $2 24d
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 SELL Over 19¢ $1 24d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 25d
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 54¢ $2 25d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 31d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons SELL Pistons 61¢ $2 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 31d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 31d
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 56¢ $2 32d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Pistons 62¢ $2 32d
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 51¢ $6 41d
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 57¢ $3 41d
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 58¢ $5 41d
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $6 41d
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $3 41d
Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $2 41d
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2 41d
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $4 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +6.5% -3.7% 50% 50% -20.4%
≤30d 12 -15.6% -23.6% 42% 33% -55.0%
≤90d 94 -2.5% -11.8% 51% 50% +1.4%
all 94 -2.5% -11.8% 51% 50% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 50% +1.4%
10% -20.2% 46% -8.3%
15% -27.9% 41% -17.1%
20% -35.0% 36% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 192 history records