trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -11.5% | -19.9% | 38% | 38% | -38.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 33% | 33% | -38.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 33% | 33% | -38.5% |
| all | 9 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 33% | 33% | -38.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -28.8% | 33% | -38.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -35.6% | 33% | -44.4% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 33% | -49.8% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 22% | -54.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 53¢ | 48¢ | $34,699 | $31,161 | −$3,538 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Jun 25 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Jun 25 | $52 | +$41 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Jun 25 | $51 | +$22 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Jun 25 | $79 | −$79 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Jun 25 | $62 | +$34 | +56% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $48,622 | −$15,762 | -32% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $1,912 | −$591 | -31% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $809 | −$47 | -6% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $128 | −$127 | -99% |