Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7367…b30b
crypto · 211 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses136 / 75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)211 / 211
History coverage5d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 +2.5% -7.2% 64% 64% -10.5%
≤30d 211 +2.5% -7.2% 64% 64% -10.5%
≤90d 211 +2.5% -7.2% 64% 64% -10.5%
all 211 +2.5% -7.2% 64% 64% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 64% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 55% -19.0%
15% -24.2% 51% -26.9%
20% -31.6% 47% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 356 history records