Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T07:29:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x7364…c6f0 crypto 76 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$77 (-6%) realized −$77 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate50%38W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day22.2pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 8d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$218
other 14% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-30.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -47.8% -52.8% 25% 17% -34.1%
≤30d 76 -23.2% -30.5% 50% 42% -27.5%
≤90d 76 -23.2% -30.5% 50% 42% -27.5%
all 76 -23.2% -30.5% 50% 42% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.5% 42% -27.5%
10% ← realistic here -37.2% 30% -34.5%
15% -43.2% 18% -40.8%
20% -48.8% 11% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -23% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$11 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.36 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses38 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)76 / 76
History coverage8d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day22.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 76 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $90 −$56 -63%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $88 −$5 -6%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 26 $173 −$31 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -91%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 26 $86 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -93%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $3 +$3 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$18 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $42 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$10 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$10 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 19 $21 +$11 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $22 −$19 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $27 −$1 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 18 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$9 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $33 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$6 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $79 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $42 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $42 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $41 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $44 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $41 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $30 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 194 history records