trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 11 | -97.9% | -98.1% | 0% | 0% | -94.2% |
| all | 31 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 42% | 42% | -30.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 42% | -30.6% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 42% | -37.2% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 39% | -43.3% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 32% | -48.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 26 | $3,150 | −$3,150 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Chiefs | Mar 22 | $681 | −$681 | -100% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Mar 22 | $67 | −$67 | -100% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Mar 22 | $1,370 | −$1,370 | -100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Mar 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | Mar 22 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | Mar 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Mar 22 | $2,881 | −$2,227 | -77% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Mar 22 | $705 | −$705 | -100% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Mar 22 | $441 | −$441 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | Feb 28 | $952 | +$1,525 | +160% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Feb 28 | $831 | +$780 | +94% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Feb 28 | $1,039 | +$434 | +42% |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | Feb 25 | $1,330 | −$380 | -29% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 19 | $778 | +$504 | +65% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 10 | $300 | −$233 | -78% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Dec 23 | $248 | +$490 | +197% |
| Spread: Bears (-1.5) | Dec 21 | $215 | +$215 | +100% |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | Dec 21 | $253 | −$253 | -100% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 21 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Dec 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6? | Dec 20 | $448 | +$733 | +164% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision? | Dec 20 | $152 | +$296 | +194% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 20 | $100 | +$52 | +52% |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 12 | $250 | −$56 | -22% |
| Eagles vs. Chargers | Dec 09 | $410 | +$1,053 | +257% |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 08 | $383 | +$149 | +39% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1) | Dec 07 | $213 | +$59 | +28% |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1) | Dec 06 | $253 | +$130 | +52% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 05 | $250 | −$57 | -23% |