Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7357…f04f
crypto · 1466 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$45 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses698 / 768
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1466 / 1466
History coverage75d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day33.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1466 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$9
14 days+$17
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$44
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +3.5% -6.3% 63% 53% -5.9%
≤30d 499 -6.3% -15.2% 42% 34% -7.7%
≤90d 1466 -9.7% -18.3% 48% 29% -10.9%
all 1466 -9.7% -18.3% 48% 29% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 29% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 19% -19.4%
15% -33.3% 14% -27.2%
20% -39.8% 10% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records