| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? |
Apr 08 |
$264 |
−$264 |
-100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15? |
Apr 08 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30? |
Apr 08 |
$50 |
−$50 |
-100% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Cit |
Apr 08 |
$583 |
−$583 |
-100% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary ele |
Mar 31 |
$50 |
−$47 |
-94% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom |
Feb 25 |
$78 |
−$25 |
-32% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? |
Jan 13 |
$30 |
+$8 |
+25% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele |
Dec 29 |
$258 |
+$29 |
+11% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb |
Dec 25 |
$27 |
−$11 |
-41% |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? |
Dec 25 |
$300 |
−$54 |
-18% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? |
Dec 13 |
$101 |
+$7 |
+7% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? |
Dec 10 |
$200 |
+$3 |
+2% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? |
Dec 10 |
$132 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? |
Dec 02 |
$50 |
+$33 |
+67% |
| Maduro out in 2025? |
Nov 24 |
$100 |
+$62 |
+62% |
| Will Spain win on 2025-11-15? |
Nov 15 |
$200 |
+$44 |
+22% |
| Will Germany win on 2025-11-14? |
Nov 14 |
$560 |
+$31 |
+6% |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? |
Nov 11 |
$712 |
+$106 |
+15% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? |
Nov 09 |
$100 |
+$44 |
+44% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? |
Nov 09 |
$100 |
+$96 |
+96% |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? |
Nov 05 |
$100 |
+$7 |
+7% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concessio |
Nov 05 |
$34 |
+$54 |
+157% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/ |
Nov 05 |
$100 |
+$48 |
+48% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? |
Nov 05 |
$338 |
+$72 |
+21% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? |
Nov 05 |
$217 |
−$43 |
-20% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? |
Nov 04 |
$824 |
−$64 |
-8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? |
Nov 02 |
$100 |
+$6 |
+6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Nov 02 |
$100 |
+$12 |
+12% |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31? |
Nov 01 |
$211 |
+$70 |
+33% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? |
Oct 23 |
$50 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? |
Aug 22 |
$2,158 |
−$1,414 |
-66% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? |
Jun 25 |
$200 |
−$10 |
-5% |
| Iran strike on Qatar today? |
Jun 24 |
$500 |
−$384 |
-77% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? |
Jun 12 |
$79 |
+$10 |
+12% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York |
Jun 12 |
$1,435 |
+$1,395 |
+97% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? |
Jun 11 |
$83 |
−$4 |
-4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025? |
Jan 20 |
$1,357 |
+$78 |
+6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? |
Dec 28 |
$1,230 |
+$127 |
+10% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December? |
Dec 24 |
$1,081 |
+$149 |
+14% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? |
Dec 13 |
$1,120 |
−$40 |
-4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December? |
Dec 09 |
$1,101 |
+$19 |
+2% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday? |
Dec 06 |
$893 |
+$208 |
+23% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Nov 20 |
$1,612 |
+$123 |
+8% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? |
Nov 18 |
$770 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? |
Nov 16 |
$1,090 |
−$238 |
-22% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? |
Nov 16 |
$479 |
+$245 |
+51% |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? |
Nov 10 |
$795 |
+$72 |
+9% |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? |
Nov 07 |
$690 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called? |
Nov 06 |
$677 |
+$13 |
+2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Nov 06 |
$538 |
+$139 |
+26% |