Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:48:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x7341…016d crypto 893 markets active 21h ago coverage 48d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 47d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,026 (-0%) realized −$1,026 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate64%583W / 325L
Whale WR65%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$235per market
Trades / day56.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 48d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4,960
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -22.0% -29.5% 69% 21% -22.9%
≤30d 291 -14.4% -22.5% 65% 26% -17.7%
≤90d 908 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 23% -12.3%
all 908 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 23% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 23% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 12% -20.7%
15% -30.5% 8% -28.3%
20% -37.3% 5% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 65% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$60 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,026
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses583 / 325
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)908 / 893
History coverage48d ⚠
Avg bet$235
Trades / day56.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 908 Trades
no open positions (120 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 20 $208 −$208 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 20 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $297 −$297 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $218 −$218 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 20 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 20 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $194 −$190 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $220 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $175 +$34 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $98 −$95 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $97 +$24 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $238 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $183 −$180 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $185 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $192 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $183 +$17 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $91 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$57 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $166 +$34 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $236 +$32 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $261 −$255 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $190 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $380 +$20 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $306 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $246 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $289 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $89 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $272 +$28 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 19 $289 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $231 +$29 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $226 +$34 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $237 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $286 −$285 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $177 +$23 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $194 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $220 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $175 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $98 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $97 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $238 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $183 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $185 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $192 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $88 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $94 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $183 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $91 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $99 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $166 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $92 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $168 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $144 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $261 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $53 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $57 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $71 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $190 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $193 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records