Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7332…4a18
sports · 340 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$221 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$221 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$221
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses229 / 108
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions3
Markets (closed)337 / 340
History coverage145d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$24
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler McCartney Kessler 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $21 −$21 -99%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 08 $1 $0 -6%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 08 $3 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $1 $0 +25%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $1 $0 -4%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas Jun 08 $1 $0 +33%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $10 +$2 +17%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $1 $0 +20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $3 +$1 +17%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $4 +$1 +18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 08 $2 −$1 -29%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $2 +$1 +28%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $1 $0 +36%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 07 $1 $0 +20%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $5 −$2 -34%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $8 −$6 -75%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 07 $16 −$9 -59%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $2 $0 -6%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $1 $0 +28%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $20 +$2 +11%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi Jun 07 $3 +$2 +65%
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Jun 07 $3 +$2 +52%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $10 +$4 +38%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 07 $2 $0 +7%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $4 +$1 +25%
ITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani Jun 07 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -17%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $1 $0 +19%
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan Jun 06 $10 −$1 -14%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $3 +$2 +83%
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $3 $0 -11%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $3 $0 -5%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl Jun 06 $3 $0 +14%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 06 $64 +$1 +1%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Jun 06 $1 $0 +30%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 06 $8 $0 +6%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan Jun 06 $3 +$1 +20%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $1 $0 +10%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $1 $0 +6%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $5 +$3 +60%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $1 $0 -6%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $1 +$1 +58%
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon Jun 05 $2 $0 +20%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $5 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$164
sports 35% −$56
other 1% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 47¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 41¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 1h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $21 3d
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova SELL Linda Fruhvirtova 55¢ $1 3d
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova BUY Linda Fruhvirtova 56¢ $1 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez SELL Leylah Fernandez 72¢ $3 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Leylah Fernandez 70¢ $1 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Leylah Fernandez 71¢ $1 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Leylah Fernandez 71¢ $1 3d
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler BUY McCartney Kessler 47¢ $1 3d
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova SELL Liudmila Samsonova 86¢ $1 3d
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova BUY Liudmila Samsonova 68¢ $1 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 69¢ $1 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 4d
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas SELL Liam Broady 97¢ $1 4d
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas BUY Liam Broady 72¢ $1 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce SELL Martin Landaluce 96¢ $10 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce BUY Martin Landaluce 55¢ $6 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce SELL Pierre-Hugues Herbert 45¢ $2 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce BUY Pierre-Hugues Herbert 77¢ $4 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce SELL Martin Landaluce 25¢ $0 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 46¢ $2 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce BUY Martin Landaluce 56¢ $1 4d
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci SELL Mattia Bellucci 97¢ $1 4d
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci BUY Mattia Bellucci 80¢ $1 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Anyones Legend 22¢ $2 4d
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Magda Linette 83¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -3.4% -12.6% 62% 45% -18.4%
≤30d 146 -2.3% -11.6% 65% 47% -14.5%
≤90d 146 -2.3% -11.6% 65% 47% -14.5%
all 337 -3.1% -12.3% 68% 37% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 37% -17.1%
10% -20.7% 19% -25.1%
15% -28.4% 10% -32.3%
20% -35.4% 5% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.97 · official $2.97 (match) · 1151 history records