Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T21:19:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x7330…ce87 crypto 149 markets active 1h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (279 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,040 (-29%) realized −$2,040 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate43%64W / 85L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day279.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days−$85
14 days−$284
30 days−$284
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$284
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (279 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -28.7% -35.5% 35% 35% -16.9%
≤30d 149 -8.9% -17.6% 43% 25% -13.2%
≤90d 149 -8.9% -17.6% 43% 25% -13.2%
all 149 -8.9% -17.6% 43% 25% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover279.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 25% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 14% -21.5%
15% -32.7% 11% -29.1%
20% -39.3% 7% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -22% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
18.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$9 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,040
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses64 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)149 / 149
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$47
Trades / day279.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 149 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $285 +$39 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $168 −$36 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $155 −$15 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $118 −$32 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$11 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $151 +$20 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $42 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $53 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $28 +$22 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records