Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7327…a87d
sports · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses7 / 6
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage17d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$23
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $24 −$2 -7%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Jun 01 $68 −$5 -8%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 01 $57 −$4 -7%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group St Jun 01 $8 −$2 -31%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 G Jun 01 $11 −$2 -15%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Sta Jun 01 $22 −$8 -36%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Bas May 30 $29 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 29 $5 +$1 +25%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $4 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playo May 28 $33 +$4 +12%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Ameri May 28 $22 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 27 $3 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 13¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 13¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 10¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 12¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 14¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 13¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 16¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 12¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 12¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 12¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 10¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 10¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 11¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 14¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 14¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 14¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 14¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL G2 Ares 26¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY G2 Ares 24¢ $3 3d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: SELL Team Evictix 14¢ $3 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: SELL Team Evictix 15¢ $4 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: BUY Team Evictix 20¢ $3 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: SELL Team Evictix 20¢ $1 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: SELL Team Evictix 20¢ $4 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: BUY Team Evictix 27¢ $15 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: SELL Team Evictix 28¢ $3 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: SELL Team Evictix 27¢ $3 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: SELL Nightblood Gaming 77¢ $5 11d
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: BUY Team Evictix 22¢ $5 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 0% -14.8%
≤30d 13 -8.4% -17.1% 54% 31% -16.4%
≤90d 13 -8.4% -17.1% 54% 31% -16.4%
all 13 -8.4% -17.1% 54% 31% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 31% -16.4%
10% -25.1% 15% -24.4%
15% -32.3% 8% -31.7%
20% -38.9% 8% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 185 history records