Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:28:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x731a…033f
other · 852 markets active 1d ago
2.5score
+$38,684 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,073 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$13,073
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses818 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)848 / 852
History coverage31d
Avg bet$3,568
Trades / day78.5
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 0 History 848 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$277
7 days+$1,610
14 days+$2,671
30 days+$10,902
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30? Jun 13 $285 $0 +0%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $339 $0 +0%
Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $210 $0 +0%
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $195 $0 +0%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $392 +$4 +1%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by June 30? Jun 12 $511 +$9 +2%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 8 2026 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $27 $0 +1%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? Jun 12 $982 +$148 +15%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $19,978 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2,475 +$25 +1%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 12 $289 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $1,183 +$8 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $14,923 +$77 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,650 +$2 +0%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $679 +$1 +0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $10,613 +$11 +0%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $55 $0 +0%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $55 $0 +0%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $46 $0 +0%
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $145 $0 +0%
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $181 $0 +0%
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $153 $0 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May? Jun 11 $1,945 +$55 +3%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in June? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will PPI YoY be at least 8.0% in May? Jun 11 $999 +$1 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 3.0% and 3.9% in May? Jun 11 $568 +$1 +0%
Will PPI YoY be below 3.0% in May? Jun 11 $678 +$1 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May? Jun 11 $995 +$5 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May? Jun 11 $995 +$5 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 4.0% and 4.9% in May? Jun 11 $40 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in June? Jun 11 $213 $0 +0%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Jun 11 $4,927 +$85 +2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 11 $7,561 +$112 +2%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $75 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $104 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $9,990 +$10 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June? Jun 10 $1,962 +$2 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 10 $29 $0 +0%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $95 $0 +0%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $35 $0 +0%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $223 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 41% $0
crypto 21% +$884
other 20% +$7,660
finance 11% +$1,457
tech 5% +$3,585
sports 2% +$185
world 1% −$766
economics 0% +$181
weather 0% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $285 30h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $100 35h
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 99¢ $392 36h
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 100¢ $200 36h
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 100¢ $195 36h
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 100¢ $200 36h
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 100¢ $210 36h
Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 98¢ $49 36h
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $339 36h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? SELL Yes 99¢ $493 39h
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by June 30? BUY Yes 98¢ $511 39h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? SELL Yes 99¢ $638 39h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? BUY Yes 89¢ $120 39h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? BUY Yes 82¢ $257 39h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30? BUY Yes 86¢ $604 39h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 100¢ $19,979 39h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $3,835 40h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $27 41h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $197 41h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $1,049 41h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $10 41h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $6 41h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $443 41h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $451 41h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $336 41h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $1,117 41h
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 8 2026 BUY Yes 99¢ $15 41h
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 42h
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 42h
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 100¢ $175 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 +1.5% -8.2% 97% 4% -9.4%
≤30d 796 +1.9% -7.8% 96% 2% -9.2%
≤90d 848 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 3% -9.1%
all 848 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 3% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 3% -9.1%
10% -14.6% 2% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -22.8% 1% -25.8%
20% -30.4% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records