Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:08:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7318…7b19
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$23 +61%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$23
14 days+$23
30 days+$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$47 +430%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$14 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +36.0% +23.0% 25% 25% +48.0%
≤30d 4 +36.0% +23.0% 25% 25% +48.0%
≤90d 4 +36.0% +23.0% 25% 25% +48.0%
all 4 +36.0% +23.0% 25% 25% +48.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +23.0% 25% +48.0%
10% +11.3% 25% +33.8%
15% +0.5% 25% +20.9%
20% -9.4% 25% +9.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records