trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 38% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 35% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 35% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 26 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 38% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -31.6% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 21 | $50 | $0 | -1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 20 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $16 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $4 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $34 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $14 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $121 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $27 | +$2 | +6% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 08 | $44 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 16? | May 17 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 betw | Apr 22 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 21 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Apr 19 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 27 | $11 | $0 | -0% |