Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:13:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x7314…1156 crypto 1633 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$227 (+6%) realized +$227 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate47%775W / 858L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day81.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$119
14 days−$114
30 days−$322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 478 -16.3% -24.2% 45% 45% -25.3%
≤30d 1633 -11.2% -19.6% 47% 47% -17.7%
≤90d 1633 -11.2% -19.6% 47% 47% -17.7%
all 1633 -11.2% -19.6% 47% 47% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover81.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 47% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 46% -25.6%
15% -34.3% 38% -32.8%
20% -40.8% 30% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$227
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses775 / 858
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1633 / 1633
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day81.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1633 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records