Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:46:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7304…1909
crypto · 644 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$172 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$156 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$156
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses322 / 321
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)643 / 644
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day72.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 643 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$99
14 days−$156
30 days−$156
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -86%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 +$30 +295%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 +$5 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $48 −$33 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$10 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $55 −$22 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$135
politics 7% −$55
sports 2% +$35
other 1% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 47m
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL Paraguay 6¢ $2 50m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 6¢ $1 52m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 10¢ $2 55m
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL Paraguay 79¢ $40 56m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 18¢ $5 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 21¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $15 6h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $7 7h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 7h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 7h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 8h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 4¢ $15 8h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 14¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 45h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 14¢ $20 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 -37.1% -43.1% 30% 25% -26.1%
≤30d 643 -10.3% -18.9% 50% 44% -19.9%
≤90d 643 -10.3% -18.9% 50% 44% -19.9%
all 643 -10.3% -18.9% 50% 44% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 44% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 34% -27.6%
15% -33.7% 31% -34.6%
20% -40.2% 29% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.03 (match) · 1488 history records