trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 50% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 40% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 40% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 24 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 54% | 4% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 4% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 0% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -32.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $59 | +$4 | +7% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $6 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 24 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 23 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 21 | $40 | +$1 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 21 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 19 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | Jun 26 | $17 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 18 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? | May 17 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election? | May 13 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | May 13 | $17 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 11 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10? | Mar 10 | $17 | $0 | +1% |