trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$66 | +1288% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$128 | +1246% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $20 | +$67 | +325% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| OKX IPO in 2026? | Apr 26 | $338 | −$147 | -43% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | Dec 30 | $99 | −$71 | -72% |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | Dec 29 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Dec 29 | $91 | +$321 | +352% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Dec 26 | $1,450 | +$20 | +1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +110.7% | +90.6% | 20% | 20% | +144.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +110.7% | +90.6% | 20% | 20% | +144.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +101.0% | +81.9% | 19% | 19% | -1.4% |
| all | 20 | +89.9% | +71.8% | 25% | 20% | -1.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +71.8% | 20% | -1.2% |
| 10% | +55.4% | 20% | -10.6% |
| 15% | +40.4% | 20% | -19.3% |
| 20% | +26.6% | 20% | -27.2% |