Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:18:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72f0…ba3a
crypto · 412 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$48 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$46
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses313 / 98
Open positions1
Markets (closed)411 / 412
History coverage51d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 411 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days+$33
14 days+$40
30 days+$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 74¢ 66¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$10 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$12 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$11 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$11 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$15 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$7 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$14 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $23 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 345 +2.4% -7.3% 78% 55% -9.1%
≤30d 382 +2.3% -7.4% 78% 56% -9.0%
≤90d 411 +1.5% -8.2% 76% 55% -10.1%
all 411 +1.5% -8.2% 76% 55% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 55% -10.1%
10% -16.9% 13% -18.7%
15% -25.0% 5% -26.5%
20% -32.3% 3% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.49 · official $17.96 (match) · 924 history records