Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:41:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x72e5…0d39 crypto 35 markets active 2d ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+2%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate74%26W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day21.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 74% −$2
sports 16% +$1
other 10% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -10.5% -19.1% 61% 28% -11.0%
≤30d 35 -3.9% -13.0% 74% 26% -9.9%
≤90d 35 -3.9% -13.0% 74% 26% -9.9%
all 35 -3.9% -13.0% 74% 26% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 26% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 17% -18.5%
15% -29.0% 6% -26.4%
20% -35.9% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 47% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses26 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 35
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 35 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -50%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -35%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +45%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -58%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -59%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca SELL Justin Gaethje 29¢ $1 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca SELL Justin Gaethje 30¢ $2 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca SELL Justin Gaethje 30¢ $2 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 21¢ $1 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 22¢ $1 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 22¢ $2 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 4d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 70¢ $4 4d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 50¢ $0 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 49¢ $0 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 49¢ $0 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 49¢ $0 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 49¢ $0 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 49¢ $0 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 49¢ $0 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 49¢ $0 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 48¢ $0 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 105 history records