Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:46:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
72 0x72df…5bbd crypto 62 markets active 2d ago coverage 9d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$47 (+12%) realized +$47 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate53%33W / 29L
Drawdown47%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day14.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$51
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% −$17
other 16% +$42
sports 11% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +73.4% +56.9% 50% 50% +46.2%
≤30d 62 +9.3% -1.2% 53% 42% -1.9%
≤90d 62 +9.3% -1.2% 53% 42% -1.9%
all 62 +9.3% -1.2% 53% 42% -1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.2% 42% -1.9%
10% -10.6% 34% -11.3%
15% -19.2% 27% -19.9%
20% -27.2% 21% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +15% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×1.15 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses33 / 29
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage9d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 62 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +108%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -62%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 +$12 +596%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$5 +77%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$26 +509%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $7 +$9 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -33%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $14 −$13 -92%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $8 +$6 +76%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 06 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 06 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 06 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $31 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 06 $14 −$6 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 06 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 06 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 06 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $15 −$3 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 45h
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 24¢ $11 3d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 3d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 3d
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 4d
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 4d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 4d
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 5d
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 99¢ $13 5d
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 55¢ $7 5d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 5d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 5d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 100¢ $31 5d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 97¢ $15 5d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $7 6d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 9d
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta SELL NRG 20¢ $1 9d
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta BUY NRG 60¢ $14 9d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $14 9d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $8 10d
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 61¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 166 history records